Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.304875 1.487892 1.687152 1.920189 2.185263 2.477420 2.823913
2025-02-09 1.050655 1.307178 1.611202 1.998051 2.477307 3.051796 3.793263
2025-02-16 0.893785 1.181278 1.542626 2.030071 2.670709 3.484536 4.598171
2025-02-23 0.758684 1.053739 1.442911 1.993674 2.753475 3.765711 5.218882
2025-03-02 0.663032 0.961452 1.371890 1.977442 2.848711 4.058344 5.868652
2025-03-09 0.594466 0.895946 1.326422 1.985649 2.970514 4.389244 6.592940
2025-03-16 0.537988 0.839959 1.286159 1.993150 3.086321 4.715043 7.332361
2025-03-23 0.493268 0.795755 1.257129 2.011611 3.215969 5.067222 8.137239
2025-03-30 0.441382 0.734257 1.194471 1.969681 3.244652 5.262620 8.709310
2025-04-06 0.396755 0.679436 1.136289 1.927663 3.266426 5.444644 9.270033
2025-04-13 0.353561 0.622393 1.068629 1.862436 3.241775 5.545620 9.700051
2025-04-20 0.346154 0.625471 1.100981 1.968420 3.514396 6.161395 11.055522
2025-04-27 0.338747 0.628350 1.134048 2.080166 3.809826 6.845947 12.602256
2025-05-04 0.326685 0.621681 1.149714 2.162277 4.059924 7.472720 14.103530
2025-05-11 0.308796 0.602310 1.140380 2.196993 4.225105 7.958757 15.386014
2025-05-18 0.282765 0.564873 1.094124 2.157613 4.246729 8.180661 16.186990
2025-05-25 0.262138 0.535891 1.061059 2.140052 4.307524 8.479066 17.158063
2025-06-01 0.246603 0.515490 1.042557 2.148932 4.419861 8.883534 18.369811
2025-06-08 0.232339 0.496299 1.024644 2.157046 4.530578 9.292261 19.622802
2025-06-15 0.220489 0.480999 1.013146 2.177019 4.666648 9.761386 21.038217
2025-06-22 0.203268 0.452659 0.972328 2.131656 4.661422 9.939819 21.854480
2025-06-29 0.187573 0.426187 0.933146 2.086197 4.651601 10.106709 22.657963
2025-07-06 0.171089 0.396460 0.884469 2.015629 4.580620 10.136889 23.162371